![]() Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.įXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. #Modest eyes indian freeFXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Technical analysisĪ monthly bullish channel keeps USD/INR buyers hopeful between 80.40 and 79.40. Also, Indian reliance on oil and pessimism in the Asia-Pacific zone, led by China, seems to keep the pair buyers hopeful. Overall, the pair is likely to remain on the bull’s radar as ECB’s capacity to tighten monetary policy is limited compared to the Fed. Moving on, USD/INR traders may witness a volatile day wherein the 0.75% ECB rate hike can offer a short-term fall before the fresh downside, in a case where Fed’s Powell sounds hawkish. On the same line could be the oil’s downside move and optimism of the Indian politicians to post notable growth numbers despite global recession fears. The market’s optimism spread by the firmer data from the major economies and Fed’s Beige Book, not to forget the mixed Fedspeak, seemed to have weighed on the USD/INR pair the previous day. Following that, hawkish Fed bets, covid fears emanating from China and the likely escalation in the Sino-American tussles also weigh on the market sentiment and fuel the USD/INR prices. While talking about the risk catalysts, the cautious mood ahead of the monetary policy meeting by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech gains major attention. It’s worth noting that India’s reliance on oil imports and record deficit make USD/INR prone to oil price moves. In doing so, the black gold takes a U-turn from the downward sloping support line from May. It should be noted that the WTI crude oil extends late Wednesday’s rebound from a nearly eight-month low to $82.60 at the latest. ![]() Additionally, the CME’s FedWatch Tool signals a 77% chance of the Fed’s 75 basis points (bps) rate hike in September, versus 73% marked the previous day. On the other hand, S&P 500 Futures fades the bounce off the lowest levels since July 19 as it seesaws around 3,980 by the press time. US Dollar Index (DXY) pares the biggest daily loss in a month around 109.85 even as the US 10-year Treasury yields extend Wednesday’s downside to 3.23%, after taking a U-turn from the highest levels since mid-June the previous day. Also fueling the pair prices could be the recent rebound in WTI crude oil, as well as the sluggish sentiment. In doing so, the Indian rupee (INR) pair takes clues from the market’s rush toward the US dollar amid a cautious mood ahead of the key events. USD/INR prints mild gains around 79.70 while consolidating the two-day losses during the initial Indian trading session on Thursday. RBI’s stance joins downbeat oil prices in the last few days to keep bears hopeful. ![]() Oil prices also rebound from multi-day low, exerting downside pressure on rupee. ![]()
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